Monday, June 2, 2014
Sri Lanka blue-chips tumble
Tuesday, April 8, 2014
Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) in Sri Lanka
The current trend attracts many investors to the market. These investors will be able to maximize opportunities only if they make informed decisions. They should refrain from making unwise decisions as done in the past. Hence, this article will give out some useful tips when investing.
Seek — and secure — objective research
It’s not as easy as you might think to find good objective information or research on a private company on the cusp of going public, yet doing so is absolutely essential.
Start by scouring the web for information on the company — particularly any details regarding financing as well as past and current press releases. They can inform you of any news, research or analysis of your IPO, the anticipated price for the offering and perhaps even how the company’s major executives and shareholders have been buying and selling their stocks.
There are still other firms that specialize in performing in-depth IPO researching and reporting. They may charge a nominal fee for this extra information but ensuring you’re well-informed on your prospective IPO is often worth the extra expense. By performing good research, you’ll be able to determine whether your IPO is a stable company, or if it’s just being over-hyped.
It’s also a good idea to take a look at the health of the overall sector in which the company you’re interested in belongs to (e.g., manufacturing, information technology, health care, bank finance and insurance, hotels and travels, etc.). For example, if you’re considering an IPO in the manufacturing sector but that particular sector hasn’t been faring well, you may want to reconsider.
Read and understand the prospectus
For most people, thoroughly reading their investment prospectus can seem nothing more than a tedious — if not entirely soporific — endeavour they’d rather not undertake. Investing in stocks, however, and particularly investing in IPOs, requires that you do more than just skim the prospectus — you must read it from cover to cover. While the material may be a bit dry, the information contained within the prospectus such as the company’s opportunities/risks and how the funds the IPO raises are proposed to be used is invaluable.
Highlighted below are some of the sections of an IPO prospectus that an investor should consider.
- Legal proceedings disclose the significant litigation involving the company.
- Management’s discussion and analysis gives the management an opportunity to discuss in narrative form the management’s perspective on the company’s financial condition, changes in financial condition and results of operations. This narrative section should provide investors with information to help them understand how and why the company’s financial results have changed over the time period covered by the financial statements and factors that management thinks might affect the company’s future financial condition or operating results.
- Dilution illustrates the usually significant disparity between the price that investors are paying for shares in the company’s IPO to both the book value of such shares and the average price paid by the existing shareholders that include founders, officers and early investors.
- Use of proceeds specifies what the company plans to do with the money it raises in the offering.
- Prospectus summary briefly summarizes information that is disclosed in greater detail throughout the prospectus, including the company’s business, strategy, plans for using the funds raised in the IPO, financial condition and as well as the terms of the IPO itself.
- Risk factors identify risks that the company’s management feels could significantly impact the company’s business, operations or performance or an investment in the securities being offered.
- Dividend policy describes the company’s history of paying and possibly its plans to pay, dividends to shareholders.
- Selected financial data discloses certain key financial and other data in a summarized column format. The information and presentation can highlight significant trends in the companys financial condition and results of operations. Companies are generally required to disclose selected financial data for the past years. You should also study the projected accounting figures in the prospectus carefully. If the IPO’s future earnings projections look too good to be true, well, that just might be the case. This is perhaps one of the biggest red flags you should look for when performing your research.
- Business describes the company’s lines of business, its principal products or services and their markets, any significant suppliers and customers on whom the company’s business depends and its competitive landscape and principal methods of competition. This section may also provide information regarding the relative contribution to the company’s financial results from different significant lines of business or operations in foreign countries.
- The management offers biographical information regarding the directors and executive officers of the company.
Watch out for lock-up period
Lock-up agreements are legally binding documents that prevent existing shareholders from selling any shares of stock for a specified period of time. The problem is, when lockups expire all the insiders are permitted to sell their stock. The result is a rush of people trying to sell their stock to realize their profit. This excess supply can put severe downward pressure on the stock price.
Evaluate the offering price
The company and the investment bank make the decision on where to set the offering price. It is important to understand that the offering price is determined by a mix of market conditions, analysis and the companys performance. Competing interests affect the determination of the offering price.
From the perspective of the company offering its shares in the IPO, the higher the offering price, the more capital the company can raise.
Under-pricing an IPO creates a discount for the initial investors and increase the quantity of shares applied for. This in turn could once again generate more capital to the company. Under-pricing may also affect how much, if at all, the stock’s price rises on its first trading day. If there is a large increase, or ‘bump’, from the offering price during the initial trading, the underwriters client-investors may be satisfied because the value of their investment will have increased. However, the company may be unsatisfied in that case, as it might have been able to sell its shares at a higher initial offering price and thereby raise more capital.
All of the foregoing factor into the determination of the offering price. Whether you have an opportunity to participate directly in an IPO or are buying shares in the open market, it is important to realize that the offering price reflects a negotiated estimate as to the value of the company. The offering price may bear little relationship to the trading price of the securities and it is not uncommon for the closing price of the shares shortly after the IPO to be well above or below the offering price.
Bottom line
Successful companies go public but it is difficult to sift through and find the investments with the most potential. Just keep in mind that when it comes to dealing with the IPO market an informed investor is likely to perform much better than one who is not.
Tuesday, March 18, 2014
Bansei Royal Resorts IPO
Asiri Central Hospital delist from CSE
Last month Kuruwita Textile Mills announced it was delisting for the same reasons as Beruwala Walk Inn.
The three companies said that they will take all necessary steps in accordance with the terms of the regulations issued by SEC pertaining to delisting of shares, including the convening of an Extra-Ordinary General Meeting of the shareholders to seek their approval.
Monday, March 10, 2014
Earnings Review Q3 FY 14- Aitken Spence Hotel Holdings PLC
An increase in overall occupancies drove AHUN’s revenue growth in Q3 FY 14. Gross revenue grew 15.8% YoY to LKR 3.4bn to which the Sri Lankan (SL) and South Asian (SA) segments contributed ~27% and 73% respectively. The SL and SA segments recorded gross revenues of LKR 933mn (+16.2% YoY) and LKR 2.5bn (+15.7% YoY) respectively. AHUN recorded an EBIT of LKR 948mn (+ 31.7% YoY) on higher revenue. During the period AHUN entered into an agreement with Spanish hotel group ‘RIU Hotels’ to construct a 500 room resort in Ahungalla. The expected cost of the project is ~USD 100mn. Further, an additional 240 rooms will be added to the group portfolio in FY 2015E. Based on DCF valuation we have arrived at a TP of LKR 82 with an upside of 13% to CMP. We recommend BUY.
Source: Company data and BRS Research
BRS Equity Research | Bartleet Religare Securities (Pvt) Ltd, Sri Lanka
Thursday, March 6, 2014
CIC Holdings PLC- (CIC-LKR 45.50) - Initiation Report
Looking for a clear direction : HOLD
CIC is a diversified company with a majority exposure to agriculture. With the top line forecasted to grow tamely at 1.6% three-year CAGR, CIC is attempting to realign strategy by shedding some of the loss making units. While we are positive of the efforts’ medium term results, we are concerned about the working capital financing CIC is likely to endure caused by the delay in the Government payment of the fertilizer subsidy. A DCF based valuation suggests a Target Price (TP) of LKR 48. CIC trades at 10.3x PE ratio in FY 2015E after a forecast loss in FY 2014E. We feel with the uncertainty of the subsidy payments coupled with the thin margins of the key business segments and the low forward ROEs, these forward trading multiples are not a bargain. We recommend HOLD.
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BRS Equity Research | Bartleet Religare Securities (Pvt) Ltd, Sri Lanka
Tuesday, March 4, 2014
Sri Lankan IT-BPO and Knowledge Services industry taught importance of going public by CSE
Tuesday, February 25, 2014
Australian solar panels manufacturer will in CSE?
Sri Lanka's investment promotion agency, the Board of Investment (BoI) said the Energy Puzzle Group will set up its plant in the BOI's new Export Processing Zone at Mirijjawela, near Hambantota in the deep south.
Chairman of Energy Puzzle, Patrick Featherston and Chairman of the Board of Investment of Sri Lanka Dr. Lakshman Jayaweera signed the agreement recently in Colombo.
Energy Puzzle will be developing their operations in Sri Lanka under several phases and in the first phase, which is covered under the agreement with the BOI, the company will manufacture solar cells and panels of up to 150 MW/year.
"However the company envisages a greater production of Solar Panels and Energy Technology in the future," the BoI said.
The company will originally employ 150 staff of which there would be a mix of Sri Lankan and some Australian managers and workers.
According to the BoI, Energy Puzzle has a vast experience in solar power projects and provides consultancy services to the governments of Australia, the USA and Sri Lanka in this form of alternative energy.
Production of solar panels will be mainly exported but some of this production will also be made available to the local market. The Company could be listed in the Colombo Stock Exchange under a new scheme which is being set up by the BoI and Stock Exchange.
-colombopage.com